Morgan Stanley Raises CME Price Target to $337

Morgan Stanley has reaffirmed its Overweight rating on CME Group, raising the price target to $337, a 16.07% upside from the current price.

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Morgan Stanley raised its price target on CME Group Inc. ($CME) to $337 from $330 on October 9, 2026, and rates the stock "Overweight".

Since the rating, $CME is up 4.7% after 1 week and up 4.7% to date (from the $280.56 close on Oct 9, 2026).

CME CME Group Inc.
$293.87 +12.68% year to date
Daily close · Oct 16, 2026

Key Points

  • On October 9, 2026, Morgan Stanley reiterated its Overweight rating on CME Group Inc. (CME), increasing the price target from $330 to $337.
  • Morgan Stanley's $337 price target implies 16.07% upside from CME Group Inc.'s ($CME) current $290.33 share price.
  • CME Group recently traded around $290.33, which is about 13.8% below the new price target set by Morgan Stanley.
  • The company's next earnings report is scheduled for October 21, 2026, following a year-over-year revenue growth of 0.8%.

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Not investment advice. EarningsIQ is not a registered investment adviser, and this automated CME Group Inc. alert may contain errors. Disclosures

Morgan Stanley has reaffirmed its Overweight rating on CME Group Inc. (CME), raising its price target from $330 to $337 on October 9, 2026. This change reflects Morgan Stanley's positive outlook on the financial services company, which operates trading platforms for futures and options contracts worldwide.

Other Institutional Activity in CME Group

Several other institutional investors have also made adjustments to their positions in CME Group. Blackrock Inc. reduced its holdings by 880,512 shares, now holding 30,566,342 shares valued at approximately $8.98 billion. Vanguard Capital Management LLC added 294,430 shares, increasing its total to 23,661,856 shares worth about $6.95 billion. State Street Corporation grew its stake by 290,606 shares, ending with 16,346,170 shares valued at around $4.80 billion. Morgan Stanley, which is already a significant holder, increased its shares by 321,702, totaling 9,728,195 shares worth about $2.86 billion. Geode Capital Management, LLC also increased its position by 124,398 shares, now holding 9,271,309 shares valued at around $2.72 billion.

CME Group Inc. Stock Up 0.3%

CME Group's shares are currently trading around $290.33, which places them 13.8% below the new price target set by Morgan Stanley. This comes as the stock is navigating the financial market's fluctuations, reflecting a stable position compared to its peers. The recent trading levels highlight a cautious investor sentiment, especially with the upcoming earnings report.

12-month forecast

$CME price target

CME Group Inc. daily closes and this analyst's $337 target. Not advice.

Recent Earnings

CME Group reported a trailing twelve-month revenue of approximately $6.76 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $11.79. The company has demonstrated a net margin of 63.4% and a return on equity (ROE) of 15.8%. The next earnings date is set for October 21, 2026, which will be closely watched by investors for further insights into the company's performance.

Earnings drift grade

Outlook vs expectations on the last report — not price action.

F 28/100

Reported Apr 22, 2026

  1. Forward outlook

    2 target cuts vs 0 raises.

  2. EPS & revenue

    EPS missed estimates by 1.2%. Revenue missed estimates by 1.6%.

  3. Profit surprise

    EBITDA missed by 6 percent. Operating income missed by 5 percent.

  4. Pre-earnings setup

    Expectations were about average.

  5. Analyst signal

    2 target cuts.

  6. Earnings quality

    Gross margin up 0.7 points. Operating margin up 2.2 points. Positive free cash flow.

Earnings Call Summary

CME delivered a record first quarter with average daily volume of 36.2 million contracts, up 22 percent year-over-year, marking the highest in company history. Revenue reached $1.88 billion, up 14 percent, with record performance across all six asset classes and international markets. The company achieved record adjusted operating margins of 72.8 percent and adjusted earnings per share of $3.36, returning $3.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

Guidance CME reaffirmed its full-year adjusted expense guidance of about $1.695 billion. The company expects to continue investing in technology and cloud migration while maintaining capital returns through dividends and share buybacks.

Severe negative reset. The report materially damaged the forward outlook and likely forces major downward revisions.

Dividend

CME Group pays an annual dividend of $5.20 per share, with a high payout ratio of 95.4%. This indicates a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders, although it also suggests that the company is reinvesting a smaller portion of its earnings back into the business.

Insider Buying and Selling at CME Group Inc.

Insider transactions at CME Group reveal a mix of buying and selling activity. On June 25, 2026, Director William R. Shepard bought 339 shares at an average price of $230.57, totaling about $78,186. CEO Terrence A. Duffy sold 15,000 shares on September 10, 2026, valued at approximately $4.12 million. Director Elizabeth A. Cook sold 500 shares on September 14, 2026, at an average price of $280.11 for a total of around $140,055. Additionally, on September 25, 2026, William R. Shepard purchased 292 shares at an average price of $268.76, valued at about $78,626.

Analysts Set New Price Targets

On October 2, 2026, Wells Fargo initiated coverage on CME Group with an Overweight rating and a price target of $301.00. On October 5, 2026, UBS maintained a Neutral rating and increased its target from $260.00 to $270.00. TD Cowen also maintained its Buy rating, raising the target from $292.00 to $300.00. Barclays kept an Equal-Weight rating with a target increase from $270.00 to $281.00. The consensus among analysts shows a positive outlook with varying price targets reflecting differing expectations.

About CME Group

CME Group Inc. operates global markets for trading futures and options contracts. It provides a wide range of products including interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, and commodities. The company's ability to adapt to market demands and maintain regulatory compliance is crucial for its continued success, especially as it faces competition in the financial services sector.

Bottom Line

Investors should keep an eye on CME Group as it approaches its next earnings report on October 21, 2026. With Morgan Stanley's recent target increase and other analysts maintaining their ratings, the outlook remains positive amid market fluctuations. The ongoing insider activity also provides insights into the confidence of company leadership in its future performance.

Source: Morgan Stanley's rating change on $CME (Oct 9, 2026). Written by software, not financial advice. How we make alerts

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